Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000175 0.000194 0.000215 0.000238 0.000265 0.000294 0.000329
2025-05-04 0.000139 0.000166 0.000197 0.000237 0.000286 0.000345 0.000422
2025-05-11 0.000118 0.000149 0.000188 0.000239 0.000308 0.000396 0.000519
2025-05-18 0.000103 0.000135 0.000178 0.000238 0.000321 0.000436 0.000607
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000124 0.000169 0.000236 0.000333 0.000474 0.000696
2025-06-01 0.000081 0.000115 0.000161 0.000233 0.000342 0.000507 0.000780
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000104 0.000151 0.000225 0.000341 0.000525 0.000843
2025-06-15 0.000067 0.000100 0.000148 0.000227 0.000358 0.000570 0.000957
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000096 0.000147 0.000232 0.000377 0.000623 0.001091
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000090 0.000140 0.000227 0.000380 0.000647 0.001176
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000083 0.000131 0.000217 0.000372 0.000652 0.001225
2025-07-13 0.000049 0.000079 0.000128 0.000218 0.000384 0.000693 0.001350
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000222 0.000403 0.000754 0.001531
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000073 0.000124 0.000221 0.000413 0.000796 0.001684
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000071 0.000122 0.000223 0.000429 0.000854 0.001882
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000067 0.000119 0.000222 0.000437 0.000897 0.002054
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000220 0.000445 0.000941 0.002236
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000061 0.000111 0.000217 0.000450 0.000978 0.002407
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000057 0.000106 0.000210 0.000443 0.000987 0.002510
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000056 0.000105 0.000212 0.000460 0.001055 0.002787
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000216 0.000481 0.001138 0.003126
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000052 0.000101 0.000212 0.000481 0.001164 0.003303
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000049 0.000095 0.000203 0.000467 0.001156 0.003370